He's a strong talent with some flaws with a better all-around back ahead of him. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. Davis was great in relief of Christian McCaffrey in Carolina last year, but he got tired quickly. The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. Sigmund Bloom: One year after the signing of Gordon indicated a lack of faith in Phillip Lindsay -- that bore out with Lindsay being allowed to leave in free agency this offseason -- the Broncos moved up in the second round to take Javonte Williams, indicating a lack of faith in Gordon. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. Green Bay Packers: Most underrated, overrated players of all time - NFL.com Walter Payton 5. And was brought back by a new staff that keeps saying he will be a significant part of the offense. Here's our list of the greatest 30 running backs in NFL history. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. So what's the concern? However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB17. I was reading an article the other day about the greatest power backs of all time and Jerome Bettis was third on the list (right behind Jim Brown and Larry Csonka and right ahead of Earl Campbell). Marshall Faulk 7. Andy Hicks: If people are using a fourth or fifth-round pick on Myles Gaskin, they will end up disappointed. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup That looks like a mistake from where the situation sits now. Henry is one of my favorite players in the league, but there are preferable first-round picks for me in 2021. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Tarik Cohen, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB49 | Consensus Projections RB47. 5. He has had 9,088 receiving+rushing yards over his career. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. McKissic will get passing down work, so Gibson's floor and ceiling will be lower than last year, the only question is how much lower. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. 19 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. most overrated running backs of all time Without the volume, he is hard to use. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; His value is trending in the wrong direction. The following represent the most overrated NFL player on each team. When Melvin Gordon III re-signed, many dismissed him as purely a backup player. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. His knee injury involved multiple ligament tears, and the Giants are likely to bring him along slowly. Adding another trip around the sun and competition from two young, capable running backs is the recipe for the bottom to fall out for Gordon. Bettis was also a nonfactor in the passing game. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. Sigmund Bloom: Johnson was still in line to start after he took a pay cut to stay with the Texans, but then the team added Phillip Lindsay after he and the Broncos parted ways, which embroils Johnson in a frustrating committee backfield in an offense that is likely to be among the league's worst. Chad Parsons: Malcolm Brown looks, at a minimum, like a strong 1B option but did get the start and most of the snaps with Tua Tagovailoa with the first team in the initial preseason game. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. Even if he isn't named the Saints' starting quarterback, Hill's continued presence in the red zone and at the goal-line infringes on Kamara's touchdown opportunity. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. But I do not believe The Bus should be in the list of the top 40 RBs of all time. Emmitt Smith 4. This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. The next season he hit bottom with a knee injury that damaged his ACL, MCL, and meniscus. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB7. Jones was the better, more efficient runner during the 2020 regular season, and Bernard seems destined to be Tampa's primary passing-down back. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. 15 receptions, 111 yards, less than a TD per year. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. Drafters are still grabbing David Johnson due to projected volume, yet in their first preseason game, Houston utilized Phillip Lindsay on first and second downs with the starters while David Johnson was restricted to a third-down role. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the players mentioned and the reasons why. Curtis Martin 11. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. 1 status. It is also quite possible that Gordon isn't even on the team by the time Week 1 rolls around. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. His current draft price is almost his upside. Earl Campbell 9. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. I am a heretic in that regard. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. Coach Brian Flores comes from New England, where they liked employing a committee, and now they have come out publicly to say this will, in fact, be a committee in Miami. Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) #26. So as we can see, Bettis had about the 9th best run blocking offensive line in the NFL during his career. The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. His average DVOA of 0.085% would rank him 31st in the NFL in 2009, right behind Rashard Mendenhall. And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. J.D. Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. Jason Wood: Jacobs was the only projected Raiders offensive starter to play in the Hall of Fame game, which should be a blaring red flag for how much new head coach Josh McDaniels values Jacobs as a centerpiece. Derrick Henry, Tennessee | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB4. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. The Raiders have a lot of diverse depth with several different pass catchers, speed backs, and bruisers at the running back position for Jacobs to be drafted at his current ADP. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. With McKissic back taking over passing down duties and Brian Robinson Jr possibly taking over red zone opportunities, Gibson is being overvalued in fantasy drafts. Quarterback Lamar Jackson will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. Links to similar discussions on other positions: 12 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends28 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 10 Quarterbacks12 Tight Ends23 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 9 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends15 Wide Receivers13 Running Backs. Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. Never a good idea. Mckissic, and there was talk of rookie Brian Robinson Jr taking on the short yardage work. No thanks. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated.
Stephen Lancaster Chef,
Michael Psilakis Wife,
Vandalia, Il Police Blotter,
Articles M